Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
RJC
2 - 1
UTR
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
UTR
1 - 0
MVV
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
PSV
3 - 1
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
UTR
2 - 0
GAE
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
85%
10%
5%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
AZA
1 - 3
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
PSV
2 - 4
AZA
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
SPA
2 - 2
AZA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
AZA
4 - 0
NAC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
AZA
1 - 0
WAG
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |