Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1981 |
ADO
1 - 3
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
UTR
3 - 0
GRO
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
EXC
2 - 2
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1981 |
UTR
0 - 0
PSV
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
NAC
0 - 3
UTR
35%
28%
36%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1981 |
AZA
3 - 3
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1981 |
IPS
3 - 0
AZA
57%
20%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
FEY
1 - 5
AZA
50%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
AZA
0 - 0
TWE
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
AZA
3 - 2
SOC
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |