Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
ADO
3 - 1
UTR
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
RJC
0 - 0
UTR
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
UTR
1 - 0
RJC
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
NEC
0 - 0
UTR
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
UTR
0 - 0
MVV
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
VVV
1 - 1
AZA
22%
26%
53%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
AZA
4 - 1
ZWO
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
GAE
1 - 3
AZA
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
AZA
1 - 0
GAE
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
AZA
3 - 0
TWE
50%
25%
26%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |