Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
AJA
6 - 0
UTR
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
HFC
1 - 0
UTR
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
UTR
0 - 0
TWE
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
PSV
1 - 0
UTR
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
UTR
2 - 2
SPA
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
AZA
0 - 0
AMS
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
AZA
1 - 0
AJA
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
VOL
2 - 1
AZA
25%
27%
48%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
HFC
0 - 3
AZA
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
AZA
4 - 0
TEL
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | +1 |