Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
RJC
0 - 1
UTR
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 0
PSV
20%
23%
57%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
UTR
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
ZWO
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
VVV
1 - 3
UTR
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 1
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
BVB
1 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
RKC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 2
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |