Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
BVV
1 - 0
UTR
39%
26%
34%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
UTR
0 - 2
WIL
62%
21%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
BOS
1 - 0
UTR
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
UTR
0 - 0
VVV
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
VOL
4 - 0
UTR
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
VVV
1 - 2
AJA
20%
24%
57%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
AJA
1 - 2
SCP
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
RKC
3 - 1
AJA
16%
19%
65%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |