Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 3
UTR
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
UTR
4 - 2
TWE
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 1
UTR
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
UTR
5 - 2
WIL
74%
16%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
UTR
3 - 6
HSV
29%
25%
47%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
GAE
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
48%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
5 - 3
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1981 |
TOT
3 - 0
AJA
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |