Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
TEL
0 - 1
UTR
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
UTR
0 - 1
TWE
28%
27%
44%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
AZA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
NEC
0 - 0
UTR
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 4
GAE
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1976 |
TWE
3 - 0
AJA
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 1
AJA
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
AJA
0 - 0
ADO
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
12%
23%
66%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |