Unterstrass vs Zug 94 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
16º
15º
51
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterstrass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 2
FCU
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 4
CHA
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 1
FCU
31%
23%
47%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 2
FCS
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCU
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ZUG
1 - 1
PER
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCE
2 - 5
ZUG
34%
23%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ZUG
1 - 0
LOC
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 1
ZUG
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ZUG
3 - 0
ZOF
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |