Unterstrass vs Red Star Zürich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
45.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
16º
15º
42
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterstrass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ZUG
2 - 4
FCU
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCU
3 - 1
ASC
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
FCU
46%
23%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 1
BRU
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
FCU
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RSZ
1 - 2
PER
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SCE
0 - 1
RSZ
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RSZ
1 - 1
LOC
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
RSZ
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 4
RSZ
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +2 |