Unterstrass vs Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
72%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
13º
7º
51
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterstrass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCW
1 - 0
FCU
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FCU
3 - 0
SCH
36%
22%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCG
2 - 1
FCU
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCU
2 - 2
LIE
17%
17%
66%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BIN
1 - 0
FCU
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OLD
5 - 0
FCW
62%
18%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 3
OLD
16%
19%
65%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
5 - 2
FCG
64%
19%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LIE
2 - 1
OLD
35%
22%
43%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 0
BIN
73%
16%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |