Unterstrass vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
81.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
3 - 0
STA
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
TAV
2 - 0
CHI
10%
17%
73%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
NEX
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 1
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
WIL
3 - 2
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |