Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 8-1
FC Universitatea Craiova vs Olympiakos Nicosia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
FCU
1 - 0
RES
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
FCU
2 - 0
FCM
74%
18%
9%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1977 |
OLY
1 - 6
FCU
41%
23%
37%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
UTA
1 - 1
FCU
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
DBU
2 - 0
FCU
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiakos Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1977 |
OLY
1 - 6
FCU
41%
23%
37%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
OLY
0 - 4
STU
19%
20%
61%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1973 |
STU
9 - 0
OLY
89%
7%
4%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1971 |
OLY
0 - 9
FEY
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
FEY
8 - 0
OLY
83%
12%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |