Europa League 1/32
Global 1-0
FC Universitatea Craiova vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
FCU
2 - 1
FAR
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
FIO
0 - 0
FCU
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
RAP
1 - 1
FCU
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
FCU
3 - 1
SPO
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
UCL
0 - 1
FCU
40%
26%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
FIO
4 - 0
PRG
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
FIO
0 - 0
FCU
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
FIO
2 - 2
BAR
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
VER
1 - 1
FIO
33%
28%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
PAL
2 - 0
FIO
23%
27%
51%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |