FC Ultramarina vs Derby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ultramarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SBV
3 - 0
FCU
63%
18%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 3
SBV
44%
21%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DER
4 - 1
FCU
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCU
2 - 0
CFS
88%
8%
4%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
GDV
1 - 0
FCU
57%
23%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
DER
0 - 0
CFS
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CFS
0 - 1
DER
11%
16%
73%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DER
4 - 1
FCU
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SBV
2 - 0
DER
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 2
DER
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |