FC Ulaanbaatar vs FC Deren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
TBF
1 - 2
ULA
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ULA
9 - 1
KHC
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KHO
1 - 2
ULA
16%
18%
66%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BSI
1 - 3
ULA
12%
16%
72%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ULA
5 - 1
BFC
88%
9%
4%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
DER
2 - 3
BSI
82%
11%
6%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 6
DER
10%
16%
74%
|
29 | 6 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
DER
0 - 1
SPF
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
KHA
0 - 0
DER
30%
22%
49%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
DER
7 - 0
ERC
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |