Ueberstorf vs Binningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
55.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
13º
11º
39
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ueberstorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 2
PRA
52%
21%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 0
FCU
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 1
TAV
42%
23%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCU
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 1
CON
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Binningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BIN
2 - 0
FCE
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TAV
2 - 4
BIN
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BIN
0 - 0
SCH
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CON
0 - 1
BIN
52%
20%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
BIN
2 - 3
FCB
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -1 |