Twenty 11 vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
74.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
10º
10º
25
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
FCT
88%
9%
4%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 10
CAS
5%
8%
87%
|
5 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SUF
4 - 0
FCT
65%
17%
18%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 7
COA
9%
13%
78%
|
5 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
DUN
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
FER
3 - 5
COA
21%
19%
61%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 3
FER
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 3
FER
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 3
FER
82%
13%
6%
|
16 | 58 | 42 | +1 |