Twenty 11 vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
68.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
10º
10º
19
7º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
CHR
11 - 0
FCT
89%
8%
3%
|
5 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 4
FER
11%
15%
74%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
FCT
88%
9%
4%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 10
CAS
5%
8%
87%
|
5 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 3
CHR
12%
15%
74%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
DUN
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
NOM
32%
21%
47%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
DUN
91%
6%
3%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
6 - 2
DUN
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |