Twenty 11 vs Christchurch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
82.2%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.5%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
10º
10º
41
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
FCT
85%
10%
5%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 5
NOM
9%
14%
77%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
12 - 0
FCT
93%
5%
2%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 9
NSF
7%
11%
82%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NSF
3 - 1
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHR
5 - 0
DUN
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHR
4 - 3
UOC
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 6 | 37 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FER
3 - 4
CHR
10%
14%
76%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CHR
3 - 0
NOM
82%
11%
7%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 1
COA
72%
16%
12%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |