Twente vs Xerxes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
ADO
2 - 1
TWE
75%
14%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
TWE
2 - 2
FOR
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
GRO
0 - 0
TWE
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
25%
21%
55%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
FEY
5 - 1
TWE
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Xerxes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
XER
2 - 1
NAC
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
ELI
0 - 0
XER
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
TEL
0 - 2
XER
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
XER
0 - 1
ADO
26%
21%
52%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
FOR
4 - 1
XER
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |