Twente vs Willem II analysis

Twente Willem II
87 ELO 60
-6% Tilt -1.5%
88º General ELO ranking 428º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
76.4%
Twente
16.4%
Draw
7.2%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
Twente
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.2%
Win probability
Willem II
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Twente
-3%
+9%
Willem II

ELO progression

Twente
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2010
TWE
Twente
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
BRE
34%
25%
41%
86 89 3 0
13 Feb. 2010
VIT
Vitesse
1 - 2
Twente
TWE
25%
26%
49%
86 68 18 0
07 Feb. 2010
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
Twente
TWE
59%
22%
19%
86 88 2 0
03 Feb. 2010
TWE
Twente
2 - 0
Heracles
HER
70%
19%
11%
86 69 17 0
31 Jan. 2010
TWE
Twente
2 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
70%
19%
11%
86 68 18 0

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2010
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 1
Willem II
WIL
69%
21%
11%
60 75 15 0
13 Feb. 2010
ADO
ADO Den Haag
3 - 0
Willem II
WIL
53%
25%
23%
61 61 0 -1
05 Feb. 2010
WIL
Willem II
1 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC
29%
25%
46%
62 76 14 -1
29 Jan. 2010
WIL
Willem II
2 - 1
RKC Waalwijk
RKC
44%
25%
31%
61 68 7 +1
23 Jan. 2010
SCH
Heerenveen
4 - 2
Willem II
WIL
80%
14%
6%
62 77 15 -1
X