Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
TWE
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
TWE
2 - 0
POL
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
POL
1 - 2
TWE
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
GRO
3 - 0
TWE
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
TWE
0 - 2
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
WIL
2 - 2
AZA
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
FOR
1 - 2
WIL
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 1
BOS
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 1
PSV
28%
23%
49%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
GRO
1 - 0
WIL
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |