Twente vs Willem II analysis

Twente Willem II
74 ELO 68
-13.8% Tilt -0.5%
75º General ELO ranking 302º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
54%
Twente
25.2%
Draw
20.8%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
Twente
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.8%
Win probability
Willem II
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Twente
-4%
-9%
Willem II

ELO progression

Twente
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 1991
VIT
Vitesse
1 - 0
Twente
TWE
57%
24%
20%
74 78 4 0
09 Mar. 1991
TWE
Twente
2 - 1
SVV
SVV
51%
27%
22%
74 72 2 0
03 Mar. 1991
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 3
Twente
TWE
49%
25%
26%
73 67 6 +1
27 Feb. 1991
SCH
Heerenveen
0 - 1
Twente
TWE
50%
26%
24%
73 69 4 0
26 Jan. 1991
TWE
Twente
1 - 1
RKC Waalwijk
RKC
54%
26%
20%
73 70 3 0

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 1991
WIL
Willem II
3 - 2
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
59%
22%
19%
68 71 3 0
10 Mar. 1991
FEY
Feyenoord
0 - 1
Willem II
WIL
66%
20%
14%
67 73 6 +1
03 Mar. 1991
VIT
Vitesse
2 - 0
Willem II
WIL
59%
24%
18%
68 77 9 -1
03 Feb. 1991
WIL
Willem II
3 - 2
Ajax
AJA
21%
25%
55%
67 88 21 +1
27 Jan. 1991
WIL
Willem II
5 - 0
ADO Den Haag
ADO
53%
23%
24%
65 69 4 +2