Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
FEY
3 - 3
TWE
77%
15%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
TWE
1 - 1
VVV
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
VOL
1 - 3
TWE
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
TWE
0 - 1
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
AJA
6 - 1
TWE
89%
8%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
WIL
0 - 6
PSV
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
FCD
1 - 2
WIL
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
WIL
3 - 0
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
RJC
2 - 1
WIL
72%
17%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
WIL
3 - 0
AZA
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |