Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1979 |
RJC
3 - 0
TWE
31%
28%
41%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
AJA
8 - 1
TWE
62%
21%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1979 |
VOL
5 - 0
TWE
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
TWE
1 - 2
RJC
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
FEY
2 - 0
TWE
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1979 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
15%
23%
62%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
DWS
3 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
WIL
0 - 2
TWE
44%
24%
33%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1967 |
SPA
2 - 0
WIL
69%
18%
12%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
1 - 0
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |