Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
15.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
GRO
0 - 2
TWE
40%
22%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
TWE
0 - 0
ADO
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 3
TWE
49%
21%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
TWE
0 - 3
DWS
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
SPA
3 - 4
TWE
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
VVD
0 - 2
WIL
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
WIL
4 - 0
GRO
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
ADO
4 - 0
WIL
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
WIL
0 - 2
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
DWS
0 - 0
WIL
63%
19%
18%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |