Twente vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
TWE
2 - 0
NEC
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
TWE
4 - 0
VEJ
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
VVV
1 - 1
TWE
26%
28%
46%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
GAE
0 - 1
TWE
27%
28%
45%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
TWE
0 - 2
AMS
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
VIT
4 - 2
TEL
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
TEL
0 - 2
UTR
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
TEL
1 - 1
PSV
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
AJA
7 - 0
TEL
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
TEL
2 - 1
HFC
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |