Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
ADO
2 - 1
TWE
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
PAN
4 - 0
TWE
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
TWE
3 - 1
MVV
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
PSV
7 - 1
TWE
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
TWE
2 - 1
NEC
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
RJC
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
FEY
3 - 1
SPA
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
AZA
2 - 1
SPA
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 0
HFC
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |