Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1976 |
AJA
5 - 3
TWE
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
TWE
1 - 0
TEL
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 0
TWE
27%
27%
45%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
EIN
0 - 1
TWE
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
EXC
4 - 2
TWE
14%
28%
59%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 1
EIN
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
MVV
1 - 0
SPA
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 1
NEC
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1976 |
GAE
2 - 2
SPA
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 2
TEL
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |