Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
HER
2 - 0
TWE
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
TWE
3 - 1
GAE
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
TEL
1 - 0
TWE
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
PSV
2 - 2
TWE
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
FEY
4 - 0
TWE
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
SPA
0 - 1
WIL
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
GRO
1 - 0
SPA
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
SPA
0 - 4
ADO
51%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
SPA
2 - 1
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
DWS
1 - 1
SPA
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |