Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 4-5
Twente vs Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 2
TWE
31%
24%
45%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
RBS
2 - 1
TWE
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
TWE
0 - 0
S04
67%
19%
15%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 3
TWE
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TWE
2 - 2
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RBS
5 - 1
FCB
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
RBS
2 - 1
TWE
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 3
RBS
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 6
RBS
11%
16%
73%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RBS
4 - 0
SHW
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |