Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-5
Twente vs Panionios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
TWE
2 - 0
SPA
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
ADO
2 - 1
TWE
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
PAN
4 - 0
TWE
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
TWE
3 - 1
MVV
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
PSV
7 - 1
TWE
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Panionios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
PAN
4 - 0
TWE
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
FTC
6 - 0
PAN
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1971 |
PAN
1 - 0
ATM
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1971 |
ATM
2 - 1
PAN
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1969 |
PAN
2 - 0
ROS
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |