Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Twente vs OFK Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
FEY
1 - 3
TWE
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
BEO
3 - 2
TWE
36%
25%
38%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1973 |
TWE
2 - 0
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
TWE
4 - 2
GRO
76%
17%
7%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
TWE
3 - 0
GAE
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
BEO
3 - 2
TWE
36%
25%
38%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1972 |
BER
1 - 3
BEO
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
BEO
0 - 0
BER
57%
19%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
BEO
2 - 1
FEY
24%
22%
53%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
FEY
4 - 3
BEO
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |