Twente vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TWE
3 - 0
NEC
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
GET
1 - 0
TWE
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 3
TWE
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
TWE
0 - 0
PSV
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
TWE
2 - 2
UTR
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TWE
3 - 0
NEC
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 0
NEC
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
PSV
5 - 0
NEC
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
NEC
1 - 1
RJC
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |