Twente vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
TWE
0 - 0
RJC
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
MVV
2 - 5
TWE
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
GRA
0 - 2
TWE
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1999 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
81%
12%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 0
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
NEC
1 - 1
MVV
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1999 |
NEC
0 - 3
WIL
43%
25%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1999 |
RJC
5 - 2
NEC
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1999 |
NEC
1 - 1
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |