Twente vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
RJC
2 - 0
TWE
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1989 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
TWE
4 - 1
BOS
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1989 |
GRO
5 - 0
TWE
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
TWE
2 - 2
HFC
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
NEC
1 - 2
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1989 |
ADO
2 - 2
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
AJA
3 - 0
NEC
87%
10%
3%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
NEC
0 - 4
VIT
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
NEC
0 - 1
RJC
34%
28%
39%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |