Twente vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1982 |
HFC
3 - 0
TWE
29%
26%
46%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
40%
24%
36%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
RJC
3 - 0
TWE
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 1
UTR
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
GAE
0 - 0
TWE
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1982 |
NEC
3 - 1
ZWO
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 2
NEC
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
NEC
5 - 1
FEY
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
MVV
1 - 1
NEC
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
HFC
4 - 0
NEC
72%
19%
10%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |