Twente vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
SPA
0 - 0
TWE
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
TWE
2 - 0
XER
58%
22%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
PSV
1 - 2
TWE
76%
14%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
GRO
2 - 2
TWE
60%
21%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1967 |
TWE
2 - 1
MVV
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
NEC
4 - 2
MVV
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
SIT
1 - 3
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
NEC
2 - 2
DWS
48%
22%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
VOL
0 - 0
NEC
50%
23%
26%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1967 |
NEC
0 - 5
FEY
27%
22%
51%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |