Twente vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TWE
4 - 1
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TWE
5 - 0
RKC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 1
ELP
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
TWE
1 - 2
PSV
47%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FEY
3 - 2
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
PSV
19%
23%
57%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
RKC
51%
23%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |