Twente vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
RKC
0 - 0
TWE
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 3
TWE
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
TWE
1 - 0
RJC
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 2
TWE
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
TWE
3 - 0
UTR
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 3
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 3
ADO
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
SCH
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
GRO
0 - 0
HER
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |