Twente vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
GAE
2 - 0
TWE
39%
23%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
TWE
1 - 1
TEL
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
HER
0 - 3
WIL
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
GRO
1 - 1
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
HER
1 - 0
DWS
35%
23%
42%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
ADO
2 - 0
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1965 |
HER
0 - 6
GAE
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |