Twente vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TWE
3 - 0
AZA
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 1
TWE
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
TWE
3 - 1
NAC
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 0
TWE
41%
26%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
AZA
3 - 1
SCH
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 2
ADO
81%
13%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 1
TWE
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
VOL
0 - 2
SCH
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 1
SCH
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |