Twente vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
GRO
5 - 1
TWE
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
TWE
1 - 0
VVV
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
UTR
2 - 2
TWE
58%
22%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
TWE
0 - 4
FEY
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
GAE
3 - 3
TWE
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
GAE
0 - 0
HFC
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
SPA
0 - 4
HFC
70%
18%
13%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
HFC
1 - 2
AJA
19%
22%
59%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
FOR
4 - 0
HFC
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
HFC
4 - 1
BOS
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |