Twente vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 2
MVV
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
ZWO
5 - 1
TWE
15%
25%
60%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 2
TWE
20%
25%
56%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
NEC
2 - 1
TWE
14%
24%
62%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
TWE
0 - 2
HFC
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
GRA
2 - 0
ZWO
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 2
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
HFC
3 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 3
AZA
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
RJC
0 - 1
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |