Twente vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
NEC
4 - 0
TWE
29%
28%
44%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
RJC
1 - 0
TWE
28%
28%
44%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1976 |
TWE
4 - 0
AMS
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
TWE
1 - 1
SPA
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
AJA
5 - 3
TWE
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 1
VVV
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
GRA
3 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
FEY
8 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 2
AMS
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |