Twente vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
7º
6º
32
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 76 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 72 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 51 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 35 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
65.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
1% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
8.5% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
17% | 2.5% |
|
Next round
|
73% | 82% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
TWE
0 - 1
UNI
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 2
TWE
21%
23%
56%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
HSV
2 - 4
TWE
36%
24%
40%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TWE
2 - 2
AJA
37%
24%
39%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 2
TWE
39%
26%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GAE
3 - 0
ALM
60%
22%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
GAE
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GAE
2 - 2
ZWO
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AZA
2 - 2
GAE
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GAE
1 - 5
FEY
22%
22%
56%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |