Twente vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
SVV
1 - 1
TWE
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1990 |
LEV
1 - 0
TWE
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
TWE
0 - 1
SPA
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
AJA
1 - 1
TWE
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1990 |
TWE
2 - 1
ADO
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
VIT
2 - 3
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
FOR
1 - 0
SVV
50%
27%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
SPA
2 - 2
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1990 |
FOR
1 - 1
AJA
20%
26%
55%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
ADO
0 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |