Twente vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
TWE
1 - 1
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
GAE
4 - 0
TWE
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 0
TWE
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
TWE
4 - 0
GRO
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
ADO
1 - 3
TWE
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
SHS
3 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
FOR
1 - 1
VOL
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
FOR
3 - 0
TEL
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VVD
1 - 2
FOR
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
FOR
0 - 1
AJA
10%
15%
75%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |