Twente vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
DWS
1 - 1
TWE
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
TWE
0 - 4
SPA
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
HER
2 - 0
TWE
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
TWE
3 - 1
GAE
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
TEL
1 - 0
TWE
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 0
WIL
54%
23%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
GRO
2 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 1
ADO
43%
25%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
FOR
0 - 1
VVD
60%
21%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
DWS
4 - 1
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |